Forecasting Results of State Management of Regional Agricultural Development

Abstract

The article examines the trends in public administration of agriculture in the country and regions. In the current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions, the role of agriculture in the socio-economic development of Russia continues to increase. Public administration objectively needs to develop concepts, mechanisms and tools that facilitate the integration of the industry into higher-level economic systems. Only with this approach agriculture becomes not only an important sector of production, but also a tool for rural development, adaptation to demand in the consumer markets of large cities and agglomerations, and the implementation of an import substitution strategy. At the same time, the potential of public administration is objectively limited by the available resources and production capacity of agribusiness, limitations caused by natural, climatic, infrastructural and technological factors. In this regard, forecasting the state of agriculture in the regions of the Russian Federation with high potential, which occupy leading rating positions in terms of production volumes, land resources, and have experience in implementing targeted programs and projects, is becoming an urgent area of scientific research. The aim of the article is to develop the mechanism of state management of agriculture, taking into account the key areas of strategic development of the industry. The research conducted a scientific and theoretical analysis and identified the key needs of agriculture as an object of public administration. The theoretical foundations for the formation of a mechanism based on a system of instruments of state regulation are being developed. The analysis of key indicators characterizing the state of agriculture in the regions of the Central Federal District is carried out. Their dynamics are predicted, taking into account the existing conditions of the industry’s development, the state of the institutional environment and public administration tools that are objectively capable of supporting the identified econometric patterns. As a result, a model of the mechanism for state management of agriculture has been developed, which focuses on achieving the strategic goals of its development.