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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gosupr</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Государственное управление. Электронный вестник</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Public Administration. E-journal (Russia)</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2070-1381</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Факультет государственного управления МГУ имени М.В. Ломоносова</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.55959/MSU2070-1381-109-2025-96-108</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gosupr-182</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ПРОБЛЕМЫ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ: ТЕОРИЯ И ПРАКТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ADMINISTRATIVE PROBLEMS: THEORY AND PRACTICE</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Записка Ф.Ф. Берга «О военных действиях, возможных на севере в кампанию будущего 1856 года»: анализ международной обстановки на Балтике в 1855–1856 гг.</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>F.F. von Berg’s Note “On Military Actions Possible in the North in the Future Campaign of 1856”: Analysis of the International Situation in the Baltic in 1855–1856</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0007-2192-544X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сенин</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Senin</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Сенин Александр Васильевич, Аспирант</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Alexandr V. Senin, Postgraduate student</p><p>Moscow </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">la1429@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Факультет государственного управления, МГУ имени М.В. Ломоносова</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>School of Public Administration, Lomonosov Moscow State University</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>25</day><month>05</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>1</volume><issue>109</issue><fpage>96</fpage><lpage>108</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Сенин А.В., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Сенин А.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Senin A.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.spajournal.ru/jour/article/view/182">https://www.spajournal.ru/jour/article/view/182</self-uri><abstract><p>На заключительном этапе Крымской войны Балтийский регион в стратегических планах союзных держав рассматривался в качестве наиболее вероятного театра боевых действий. В данной статье изучается записка Ф.Ф. фон Берга «О военных действиях, возможных на севере в кампанию будущего 1856 года» — один из документов российского военного планирования, содержащих анализ комплекса факторов, влияющих на ход потенциальной кампании 1856 г. на Балтике. Цель исследования заключается в определении степени объективности оценки Ф.Ф. фон Бергом как генералгубернатором и командующим русскими войсками в Великом княжестве Финляндском внешнеполитических угроз национальной безопасности Российской империи в 1855–1856 гг. на балтийском направлении. Для достижения цели работы выводы, содержащиеся в записке Берга, были сопоставлены с содержанием иных документов, раскрывающих стратегические планы союзников в 1855–1856 гг. Таким образом, основными методами работы стали документальный и историко-сопоставительный. По итогам изучения комплекса иных источников, характеризующих взаимодействие ключевых внешнеполитических игроков в регионе Балтийского моря в тот период, был сделан вывод о том, что Берг недостаточно точно определил расстановку сил на международной арене. Тем не менее данное обстоятельство не привело к катастрофическим последствиям для обороны северных рубежей России во многом благодаря мерам, принятым Бергом для их укрепления и по достоинству оцененным противником.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>At the final stage of the Crimean War, the Baltic region was considered the most probable theater of military operations in the strategic plans of the allied powers. This article examines F.F. von Berg’s note “On Possible Military Actions in the North in the Future Campaign of 1856” — one of the Russian military planning documents containing an analysis of a set of factors influencing the course of a potential 1856 campaign in the Baltic. The aim of the study is to determine the degree of objectivity of F.F. von Berg’s assessment of the foreign policy threats to the national security of the Russian Empire in the Baltic direction in 1855–1856. To achieve the aim of the work, the conclusions contained in Berg’s note were compared with the contents of other documents revealing the strategic plans of the allies in 1855–1856. Thus, the course of the work allows us to consider the documentary and historical-comparative methods the main ones used in this study. Based on the results of analyzing a set of other sources characterizing the interaction of key foreign policy players in the Baltic Sea region during that period, it was concluded that Berg did not determine accurately enough the balance of powers in the international arena. Nevertheless, this circumstance did not lead to catastrophic consequences for the defense of Russia’s northern borders, largely due to the measures taken by Berg and duly appreciated by the enemy.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Ф.Ф. фон Берг</kwd><kwd>Крымская война</kwd><kwd>Балтийское море</kwd><kwd>Великое княжество Финляндское</kwd><kwd>Швеция</kwd><kwd>Великобритания</kwd><kwd>Франция</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>F.F. von Berg</kwd><kwd>Crimean War</kwd><kwd>Baltic Sea</kwd><kwd>Grand Duchy of Finland</kwd><kwd>Sweden</kwd><kwd>Great Britain</kwd><kwd>France</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Айрапетов О.Р. История внешней политики Российской империи. 1801–1914 гг. В 4 т. Т. 3. Внешняя политика императоров Александра II и Александра III. 1855–1894. 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